Thursday, November 6, 2014

Re: {Tidal Potomac Fly Rodders} Ocean city swell forecast

Misha,

It's a little tough to predict since I don't know the exact area, but I can surmise a few things based off the data. First, those charts are generally better used for predicting offshore conditions. It looks like you're potentially going to be fishing the bay side, which will generally always be protected except for extreme conditions. But, assuming you're trying to fish nearshore... I'm seeing a quick, complete shift in the wind on Saturday which can jack up the water a little bit. It turns back offshore by Sunday, and they're calling for light winds. The offshore wind helps knock down the surf, but if it's light, it might take a little bit of time to calm it. The wind predictor doesn't get out to Monday, so hard to say what it'll do then. The wave predictor is showing a relatively slow dominant period, which is simply how fast the waves come in, so that suggests light surf - as the forecast on the left calls for, and I would believe that will actually be the case based on the wind directions and speeds leading up to it.

All that being said, I'm not convinced wave or wind conditions impact saltwater fishing. But, it should be safe to operate and fish from your kayak based on how the charts are looking for that time period as of today.

Jeff

On Thu, Nov 6, 2014 at 10:38 AM, Misha Gill <misha4455@gmail.com> wrote:
Hey TPFR,

I'm headed to Ocean City, MD this weekend. I'm still relatively inexperienced at saltwater fly fishing. Could someone help me interpret the following swell/wind forecast and what it's going to mean for the fishing on Sunday and Monday?


I'm thinking it looks pretty good.... maybe it will be worth it to hit the Assateague surf? I will also have a kayak and can launch from this neighborhood in Ocean Pines.

Any thoughts would be appreciated!

Misha

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