If you want to have consistent success you will likely need a depth finder and sinking line. In the cold months bass tend to suspend and/or school up in deeper water. That makes them pretty tough to target with a fly rod, and I have never actually figured out a body of water this way.
-- Also, at some point (probably in the recent past at this point) still waters "turn over" where the warm surface water cools off and sinks and the deeper water rises to the surface. It's a significant event that triggers changes in fish behavior. In still water it's all about figuring out the behavioral pattern the fish are exhibiting. Watch the bass tournament tv shows and you'll see what I mean.
Please report back if you figure it out!
http://www.tpfr.org
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